TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player on either Conventus Stellarum or PlayTime will achieve an Ultra Kill – 3 or more kills without dying – in a potential Game 3 of their best-of-three series during the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on data from https://www.dotabuff.com. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, as the possibility of a Game 3 is contingent on the results of the first two games in the series.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Conventus Stellarum and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win the match against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Conventus Stellarum. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage BO3 match between Conventus Stellarum and PlayTime. The team that wins the majority of games in the series will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches within the PGL Wallachia Group Stage could also impact perceptions of team strength and influence the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the series itself, such as early game dominance or key hero picks, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to unfolding events.