TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 9:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BALU and summer bear in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for June 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BALU" if BALU win the match against summer bear. This market will resolve to "summer bear" if summer bear win the match against BALU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BALU and summer bear in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for June 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BALU" if BALU win the match against summer bear. This market will resolve to "summer bear" if summer bear win the match against BALU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from participants. For this BALU versus summer bear matchup, prediction market pricing may move faster on breaking roster news or scrim results. Comparing Polymarket odds to major esports sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers in either team's chances.
On Polymarket, the BALU versus summer bear matchup is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into implied probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust in real time as buy and sell orders flow in; larger positions move the odds more sharply. Traders can enter or exit at any time before Jun 14, 2026, and the final settlement price reflects the last traded level before market closure. Polymarket's transparent order flow means you can observe exactly how confidence in either team shifts as new information emerges.
The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, after the best-of-three series between BALU and summer bear concludes in European Pro League Group A play. Resolution is determined by the official match result recorded by the league and verified through established sources. Once the series winner is confirmed, the market settles to reflect the correct outcome. Traders should monitor official European Pro League communications and team announcements for any scheduling changes or postponements that could affect the resolution date.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either BALU or summer bear, recent scrim results or practice-stage performance, injury or availability updates, and head-to-head historical matchup data. Meta shifts in the current Dota 2 patch can favor one team's draft style over the other. Tournament seeding implications and playoff positioning may also influence team motivation. Media coverage, analyst predictions, and community sentiment can drive trader positioning. Monitor official team social media and European Pro League announcements for any developments that could shift perceived win probability before the match begins.