TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Aurora vs PlayTime?

Volume:
$1,520,192

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 1:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$756,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$687,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aurora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,260
N/A
N/A
$12,944
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PlayTime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,684
N/A
N/A
$8,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
$1,971
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of Game 2 in a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Aurora and PlayTime during the Esports World Cup Group B. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by Dotabuff official match records. Watch for the match scheduled July 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT to settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market measures Esports World Cup 2026 tournament victory (not the specific Aurora vs. PlayTime match), creating a logical contradiction where all three possible outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket correctly measures the head-to-head match result.Hero tip: Kalshi's match outcome market is unresolvable due to scope mismatch. For all match and game-level resolution, use Polymarket exclusively. Polymarket's BO2 market, Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, and all in-game metrics (kills, Roshan, barracks, ultra kills, rampages, first blood, day/night timing) are coherent and use DotaBuff as the primary source with credible reporting fallback.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market resolves to Yes if PlayTime wins Esports World Cup 2026, if Aurora wins Esports World Cup 2026, or if Tie wins Esports World Cup 2026. This measures tournament victory, not the specific match. All three outcomes resolve Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If PlayTime wins Esports World Cup 2026: PlayTime vs. Aurora Dota 2 match...then the market resolves to Yes' (and identical logic for Aurora and Tie).
  • Polymarket: BO2 match outcome market resolves to Aurora if Aurora wins the match, PlayTime if PlayTime wins, and 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without play. This directly measures the head-to-head match result. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Aurora if Aurora win the match against PlayTime. This market will resolve to PlayTime if PlayTime win the match against Aurora.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and PlayTime in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and Aurora at Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match, or to Tie if the match ends in a draw.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Aurora vs PlayTime Esports World Cup match, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes simultaneously. The combined volume across both venues totals $1,520,192, reflecting active interest in how this Dota 2 Group B matchup will unfold. By tracking prices on both platforms, you gain insight into where the broader prediction market consensus lies, while also spotting opportunities when individual venues diverge from one another.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, whereas prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who risk real capital on outcomes. This market's 24-hour volume of $1,520,147 shows active participation, which typically drives prediction market prices closer to true probabilities over time. For major esports events, prediction market odds often reflect sharper, less biased estimates than sportsbook lines.

Key catalysts include recent team performance and head-to-head records, roster announcements or player substitutions, patch updates that shift the competitive meta, and injury or availability news affecting either squad. Tournament momentum—how each team performs in earlier Group B matches—will also shape trader sentiment leading up to this fixture. Public statements from coaches or analysts, betting line movements on external sportsbooks, and community sentiment on esports forums can all trigger repricing on this market as new information emerges.