TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4?

Volume:
$753,608

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 4:33 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$250,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$161,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aurora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,860
N/A
N/A
$16,361
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pipsqueak+4

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,782
N/A
N/A
$17,572
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: PIPS+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This prediction market group concerns the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual game winners, various in-game events (first blood, Roshan kills, barracks destruction, kill counts), and game length. The markets are designed to resolve based on official game data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only asks who wins the match, while Polymarket offers a full suite of markets including individual game outcomes and in-game events.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket for more detailed and robust market options. Kalshi is a basic match winner prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a comprehensive set of markets covering the entire match (series winner, individual game winners, in-game events) with detailed rules for postponements, cancellations, and tiebreakers. Resolution source is Dotabuff.
  • Kalshi: Only asks 'Who wins the match?' and resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. Lacks detailed rules and in-game event markets. Resolution source is unspecified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Pipsqueak+4. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves according to the official outcome of the Pipsqueak+4 versus Aurora match at PGL Wallachia 2026. Postponements beyond 48 hours, cancellations, or forfeitures before play result in a fair market price settlement. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer.