TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
polymarket
kalshi

Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Volume:
$189,902

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1win

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,094
N/A
N/A
$10,727
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 74

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Dota 2 match between 1win and VP.Prodigy scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT in the PREMIER SERIES Group A. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, day/night cycle timing, objective achievements (Roshan kills, barracks destruction), kill milestones (Ultra Kills, Rampages), total kill counts across multiple thresholds, first blood, and game handicaps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines 144 granular markets requiring detailed in-game state data (game winners, objectives, kill counts, timing); Kalshi defines 1 binary match-outcome market. Scope and data dependency diverge fundamentally, though both resolve to 50-50 on cancellation or 7-day delay.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are data-rich but fragile: they depend on DotaBuff availability and fall back to consensus reporting if delayed. Kalshi is simpler and more robust: any completed series result (2-0 or 2-1) resolves to Yes. If you are hedging, prefer Kalshi for certainty; use Polymarket for detailed game-state bets only if you trust DotaBuff's uptime and the 2-hour fallback mechanism.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 144 markets covering match winner, individual game winners (Games 1/2/3), in-game mechanics (day/night cycle timing for game ends), objective achievements (both teams kill Roshan, both teams destroy barracks), kill milestones (Ultra Kills, Rampages), total kill counts across 40+ thresholds per game, first blood, and game handicaps. Resolution source: official DotaBuff records; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence if DotaBuff unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. All markets resolve to 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or if a specific game is never played (forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or series clinched before game is needed).
  • Kalshi: 1 binary market: resolves to Yes if 1win wins OR VP.Prodigy wins the match (any series outcome 2-0 or 2-1). No granular game data required. Resolution source: match outcome only. Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without winner determined, or ends in a tie (not applicable in BO3). No fallback mechanism specified; outcome is binary and definitive once series concludes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.