TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
Volume:
$189,902
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Dota 2 match between 1win and VP.Prodigy scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT in the PREMIER SERIES Group A. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, day/night cycle timing, objective achievements (Roshan kills, barracks destruction), kill milestones (Ultra Kills, Rampages), total kill counts across multiple thresholds, first blood, and game handicaps.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines 144 granular markets requiring detailed in-game state data (game winners, objectives, kill counts, timing); Kalshi defines 1 binary match-outcome market. Scope and data dependency diverge fundamentally, though both resolve to 50-50 on cancellation or 7-day delay.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are data-rich but fragile: they depend on DotaBuff availability and fall back to consensus reporting if delayed. Kalshi is simpler and more robust: any completed series result (2-0 or 2-1) resolves to Yes. If you are hedging, prefer Kalshi for certainty; use Polymarket for detailed game-state bets only if you trust DotaBuff's uptime and the 2-hour fallback mechanism.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: 144 markets covering match winner, individual game winners (Games 1/2/3), in-game mechanics (day/night cycle timing for game ends), objective achievements (both teams kill Roshan, both teams destroy barracks), kill milestones (Ultra Kills, Rampages), total kill counts across 40+ thresholds per game, first blood, and game handicaps. Resolution source: official DotaBuff records; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence if DotaBuff unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. All markets resolve to 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or if a specific game is never played (forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or series clinched before game is needed).
- Kalshi: 1 binary market: resolves to Yes if 1win wins OR VP.Prodigy wins the match (any series outcome 2-0 or 2-1). No granular game data required. Resolution source: match outcome only. Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without winner determined, or ends in a tie (not applicable in BO3). No fallback mechanism specified; outcome is binary and definitive once series concludes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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