TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The point differential in the Dortmund versus Hamburg Bundesliga fixture will determine if either team achieves a decisive victory margin beyond particular goal disparities when accounting for the entire regulation period including added time but excluding any post-match proceedings.
Markets resolve based on whether Dortmund wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Hamburg wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the professional Bundesliga soccer game between Dortmund and Hamburg originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. A win by the exact threshold (e.g., 3-1 for Dortmund) results in a No outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced, crowd-sourced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and odds based on their own models and risk management, this market lets traders actively bet on the exact margin of victory, sometimes revealing sharper or contrarian insights.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The spread result is determined by the final score and whether Dortmund’s win exceeds the 1.5-goal threshold, closing the market definitively at that point.
Key moments such as player injuries, coaching changes, or recent head-to-head performance can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any major developments — for example, a surprise lineup announcement or weather conditions affecting the game — may cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to new information before Aug 29, 2026.