TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Bundesliga fixture featuring Dortmund against Hamburg, this event determines if each club finds the back of the net at least once throughout the match's regular duration. Goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not affect the result.
If Dortmund and Hamburg both score a goal in the Dortmund vs Hamburg Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique betting dynamics and the inclusion of all possible outcomes. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as match volatility or specific scoring patterns. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analytics and risk management, this market adjusts continuously based on real-time trader activity. The resulting price can therefore diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking. The current top outcome chance reflects aggregated trader expectations and can shift with each new trade. Volume of $77,122 and recent 24-hour volume of $76,038 indicate liquidity and interest levels. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments based on emerging news, injury reports, or shifts in team form, capturing a broad range of predictive insights.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the match, as recorded by official match reports and widely accepted sports authorities.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 29, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions affecting match play may shift trader sentiment. High-profile performances or controversies surrounding either team can also influence odds. As the match date approaches, betting volume and media coverage often increase, reflecting new data and analyst predictions. Any last-minute lineup changes or tactical decisions could cause rapid price adjustments in the final days leading to resolution.