TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Wagers assess the extent of a team's victory in a soccer contest. The markets settle based on whether the triumphant team secures a win by exceeding particular goal differentials. The assessment covers only the standard match duration including added time.
Markets resolve to Yes if Dorados wins by more than the specified goal margin, or if Tapatio wins by more than the specified goal margin, in the Dorados vs Tapatio professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets are considered to be highly efficient and can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts than traditional betting markets, though it's not always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the result of the Dorados vs Tapatio match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dorados vs Tapatio match, specifically the final spread as determined by official league statistics. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially causing significant price movements. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into how the market is likely to evolve leading up to the Sep 13, 2026 resolution.