TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance only during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The resolution depends entirely on the first-half score difference between the two competing teams.
The event determines whether either Dorados or Cancun FC will secure a first-half victory by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals in their scheduled Liga de Expansion MX match on July 25, 2026. If Dorados achieve this margin, the first market resolves to Yes; if Cancun FC does so, the second market resolves to Yes. Only goals scored in the first half are considered for resolution. Should the match be cancelled or postponed by more than two weeks, the outcome will instead be resolved at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants based on the synthesized conditions of both primary rules and the secondary cancellation/rescheduling clause.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond standard sports analytics, such as weather conditions or recent team form, which can create opportunities where this market offers alternative perspectives compared to conventional sports betting lines.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread score from the first half will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner, based on the official match result.
In the coming weeks, several key events could shift this market. Team injuries, coaching changes, or disciplinary actions may alter expectations for first-half performance. Momentum swings from recent matches and tactical adjustments by both teams also play a role. As Jul 26, 2026 approaches, any last-minute roster updates or strategic shifts could cause rapid adjustments in trader positioning and market movement.