TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the margin of victory in the Dorados vs Alacranes soccer match. Different markets determine whether Dorados or Alacranes win by a margin exceeding various goal differences.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Dorados or Alacranes wins the professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Dorados wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Alacranes wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. It's a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dorados vs Alacranes match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dorados or the Alacranes could shift expectations. Changes in team form, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or scheduling adjustments, would likely cause movement. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect the outcome of this market.