TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the album "Dopamine Chamber" by Fontaines D.C. during its first week of release, focusing specifically on pure album sales in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the sales exceed various predefined thresholds, providing insight into the album's commercial reception.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for pure album sales of "Dopamine Chamber" by Fontaines D.C. during the tracking week from October 16, 2026, to October 22, 2026, in the U.S. Each market corresponds to a specific sales threshold—ranging from above 1,000 to above 20,000 units. If the reported sales exceed any given threshold, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes are determined by data from Luminate’s API, which is accessed at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the outcomes of any prediction markets.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook. While analysts may issue detailed reports based on pre-release data, this market lets traders bet on actual sales expectations as the release date approaches. The current odds can diverge from or align with those forecasts, depending on new promotional activity, social media buzz, or early sales reports that emerge.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by official sales figures from recognized tracking agencies, which provide the final count of pure album sales in the first week after release. Traders can watch for early indicators, but the official numbers settle the market.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major marketing events, such as high-profile performances or media coverage, can boost expectations and raise odds. Conversely, negative press or technical issues around release day might push probabilities down. Early sales data leaks or chart updates also often cause rapid price swings as traders react to new information.
