TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game between the Doosan Bears and SSG Landers. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring pace of the match.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Doosan Bears and SSG Landers scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs scored by both teams exceed that level during the game. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each threshold operates independently; resolution for one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 5.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and the closer we get to the game, the more responsive the price will be to new information and trading activity. It's a dynamic system where traders are constantly adjusting their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Doosan Bears versus SSG Landers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine whether the total runs exceed 5.5 or not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts for rain or wind, can also impact scoring expectations. Lineup announcements, especially if key hitters are absent, could shift the odds. Even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely total runs scored has the potential to move this market.