TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 7:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Doosan Bears and the SSG Landers, focusing on the margin of victory. It examines different run differentials to determine the result, providing various thresholds for how decisively either team might win. The event reflects the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the matchup.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential in the Doosan Bears vs SSG Landers game scheduled for September 4, 2026. Each scenario defines a specific winning margin threshold for either team: SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, Doosan Bears winning by over 1.5 runs, or Doosan Bears winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual game result meets or exceeds the specified run differential for the respective scenario. All scenarios share the same underlying game — the Korea KBO contest originally scheduled for the stated date and time — and each represents an independent condition for resolution. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, community-driven assessment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants, which can lead to tighter or shifting lines based on emerging game conditions. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value gaps.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game result, including any relevant playoff or tiebreaker rules, will determine which run-difference contract settles in value. Traders should ensure they understand how official scores are reported to avoid disputes.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute roster changes could shift expectations for the game’s margin and move this market. Additionally, early-game performance on Sep 4, 2026—such as dominant pitching or sudden scoring bursts—may cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to live developments. Monitoring pre-game news and in-game updates is essential for timing entries or exits.