TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Doosan Bears or Samsung Lions will score at least one run during the first inning of their Korea KBO League matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one run scoring in the opening frame stands at 52.5%. Resolution is determined by the official box score from the game scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and starting pitcher matchups leading into game time, as early-inning run production often correlates with lineup strength and pitching effectiveness.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets move continuously based on supply and demand. For the Doosan Bears vs Samsung Lions first inning run, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing in information that books have not yet reflected. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at incorporating late-breaking lineup changes or weather updates.
The market resolves at May 28, 2026, after the first inning of the Doosan Bears vs Samsung Lions game concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final score recorded for that inning. Traders should monitor the game broadcast and official KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) records to confirm the outcome. Any delays or postponements may affect the resolution timeline, so staying informed on game status updates is essential for position management.
Key catalysts for price movement include confirmed starting pitcher lineups, weather conditions at game time, recent offensive and defensive performance trends, and any late-breaking roster changes. Injury announcements to key hitters or pitchers can significantly shift first-inning run expectations. Historical matchup data and bullpen availability may also influence trader positioning. As game time approaches, real-time updates from team sources and sports media will drive final repricing on Kalshi before the inning begins.