TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A college baseball game between Doosan Bears and NC Dinos scheduled for July 16, 2026. Bettors predict whether the combined run total from both teams will exceed various thresholds during the game.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both Doosan Bears and NC Dinos combined in their college baseball game on July 16, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold: the combined score must exceed 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs respectively. The game result is final once all innings are completed and official scoring is confirmed.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as game time approaches and new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's consensus differs from bookmaker pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the market's collective estimate of that outcome's probability. As traders place orders and execute trades, prices adjust in real time, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens or widens based on liquidity and conviction. Your entry and exit prices depend on the current order book state at the moment of your trade.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Bears-Dinos game concludes and the final run total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams during the completed game. Your position settles based on whether the actual total falls into the outcome range you backed, with payouts distributed automatically once the result is confirmed and locked in.
Several factors can shift this market before game time: lineup announcements, injury reports, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends. Starting pitcher quality and bullpen depth often influence run-total expectations significantly. Betting action from sharp bettors and public money can also drive prices. Real-time game developments—early scoring, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will move the market if live trading remains available. Monitor team news and weather forecasts closely for edge opportunities.