TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game, each with a specific run-difference threshold for resolution. If the KT Wiz win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the KT Wiz win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Doosan Bears win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if the Doosan Bears win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, as each represents a distinct winning margin scenario. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has identical secondary disclaimers regarding affiliations with the governing league. No market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie, or if the winning margin falls between the specified thresholds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the most probable spread result based on available information. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to incentivize accurate forecasting, and liquidity is driven by user participation. You can view the leading outcome and its implied probability, which updates dynamically as new trades occur. Volume of $9,501 indicates overall interest and activity levels in this market.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result is calculated based on the official game statistics and point differential, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources and official league announcements as the event date approaches to stay informed about any last-minute developments that might affect the outcome.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or changes in team strategies could shift expectations and move this market. Performance in recent games, coaching adjustments, and even betting trends on Kalshi can influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any news from official team channels or credible sports analysts may cause rapid price adjustments. Keeping an eye on pre-game lineups and last-minute updates will help anticipate potential market movements.