TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how much one team outperforms the other, with different thresholds defining various possible results. The event is part of a regulated sports league's regular season schedule.
This set of markets resolves based on the outcome of the Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers Korea KBO game originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. Four distinct markets cover different run-margin thresholds for both teams: Kia Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs, Kia Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, Doosan Bears winning by over 1.5 runs, and Doosan Bears winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding run-margin victory in the game. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the final score difference, regardless of other game factors. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven view of the likely spread compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, which can lead to tighter or shifting spreads depending on recent performance and public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds in this market by buying and selling contracts that represent possible point differentials. The current implied probability reflects the collective belief of participants about which team will cover the spread, with prices adjusting continuously based on trading volume and new information about team performance.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the official game result determines which contracts settle, based on the score difference between the two teams when the match concludes.