TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, with multiple conditions based on the margin of victory for each team.
The event consists of four separate run-spread markets for the Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers Korea KBO game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes based on the final margin of victory: Kia Tigers winning by more than 2.5 runs, Kia Tigers winning by more than 1.5 runs, Doosan Bears winning by more than 1.5 runs, or Doosan Bears winning by more than 2.5 runs. Resolution is determined by the final official game score.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they aggregate diverse trader beliefs rather than reflecting a sportsbook's risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reward accurate forecasts. For the Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market is pricing in different injury reports, recent form, or public betting patterns. Discrepancies may highlight value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers spread is priced as binary outcomes, with traders buying or selling shares that resolve to 1 or 0 based on the final game result. The current market price reflects the collective estimate of all active traders and represents the implied probability of the specified spread outcome. Prices move in real time as new information emerges—such as lineup announcements, weather conditions, or recent team performance—and as traders adjust their positions. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction toward that outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the Doosan Bears vs Kia Tigers game. The outcome is determined by the final spread between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Traders who correctly predicted whether the spread would fall within or outside the specified range receive payouts, while incorrect predictions result in losses. Resolution occurs after official final scores are confirmed and the market operator validates the result against authoritative sports data sources.
Key catalysts include roster changes or injury announcements affecting either team's lineup strength, recent performance trends and head-to-head records, weather conditions on game day that may favor one team's style of play, and betting action from sharp traders or syndicates. Managerial decisions, bullpen availability, and momentum shifts in the KBO season can also influence market prices. As game time approaches, late-breaking news—such as last-minute roster adjustments or player health updates—typically triggers sharp repricing. Monitor team news and trading volume spikes for early signals of significant probability shifts.