TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 8:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This Korea KBO baseball matchup between Doosan Bears and Hanwha Eagles on June 25, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final margin of victory. The event covers various run-differential thresholds to determine outcomes across different spread scenarios.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Doosan Bears vs Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO game scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event evaluates whether either team wins by more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs. If Hanwha Eagles wins by more than 2.5 runs, that outcome resolves affirmatively. If Hanwha Eagles wins by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), that separate outcome resolves affirmatively. If Doosan Bears wins by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), that outcome resolves affirmatively. If Doosan Bears wins by more than 2.5 runs, that outcome resolves affirmatively. Outcomes are mutually exclusive based on which team wins and by what margin.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook spreads depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and the prediction market crowd agree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal cost of the last trade, and as new orders flow in, the price adjusts in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how tightly the bid-ask spread narrows, so higher activity typically means more efficient pricing and easier entry or exit for your position.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the final score differential to the spread specified in the market. At that point, the prediction market will settle all positions based on whether the actual margin of victory matches or exceeds the predicted spread, and traders' profits or losses will be finalized.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage shifts, and betting-market activity can also sway trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about roster availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess the probability of one team outperforming the spread. Monitor sports news and team updates closely for signals that may reshape expectations before the game tips off.