TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Danil "donk" Kryshkovets records an HLTV Rating 3.0 strictly lower than 1.15 on any individual map during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: HLTV donk match stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/matches/21167/donk?event=8301 The rating will be determined using the Rating 3.0 value shown in donk’s HLTV match history for each individual map. If the relevant HLTV match statistics for donk at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Danil "donk" Kryshkovets records an HLTV Rating 3.0 strictly lower than 1.15 on any individual map during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: HLTV donk match stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/matches/21167/donk?event=8301 The rating will be determined using the Rating 3.0 value shown in donk’s HLTV match history for each individual map. If the relevant HLTV match statistics for donk at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one derive odds from continuous trader activity and real-time information flow. This market reflects the collective assessment of participants who have financial incentive to price the outcome accurately. Sportsbooks may not offer comparable betting options on specific competitive details, making prediction markets a unique venue for niche esports outcomes that traditional bookmakers do not cover.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to donk playing a sub-1.15-rated map in Stage 3. As new trades execute, the price adjusts in real time, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, roster changes, or map pool updates instantly. Traders profit by identifying mispricings relative to their own forecasts of the event.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 competition concludes and the map selections are finalized. The outcome is determined by whether donk plays at least one map with a rating below 1.15 during that stage. Resolution is verified against credible public sources documenting the maps played and their corresponding ratings. Traders should monitor official competition schedules and map pool announcements leading up to the end date to stay informed.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market. Official announcements of the Stage 3 map pool will be critical, as will any roster or team composition changes affecting donk's availability or role. Live performance data from earlier stages may influence trader expectations about map selection strategy. Injury reports, team statements about tactical adjustments, or leaked scrim results could also trigger repricing. Close to Jun 15, 2026, final team confirmations and pre-match analysis typically drive the largest volume and volatility.