TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Doncaster and Plymouth in an upcoming soccer match, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead beyond specific goal thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets centered on the goal-differential margin in the Doncaster vs Plymouth professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The first market resolves to Yes if Doncaster wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second market resolves to Yes if Doncaster wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third market resolves to Yes if Plymouth wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth market resolves to Yes if Plymouth wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or public debate surrounding the event. These differences can arise due to varying information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Doncaster vs Plymouth match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Doncaster vs Plymouth match, as determined by official results, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of resolution. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective outcome. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also influence traders’ positions and move this market.