TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory for Dominica or Puerto Rico in their CONCACAF Nations League match. Different thresholds define how many more goals the winning team must score to meet each condition.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference in the Dominica vs Puerto Rico professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Dominica wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Puerto Rico wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected result, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Dominica vs Puerto Rico spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders or market orders to participate, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The goal is for the market price to converge with the true probability of the spread as the event approaches, representing the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Dominica vs Puerto Rico game. Any adjustments or official rulings made by the governing body will be taken into account to ensure an accurate resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or team performance during upcoming games could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might impact the game could also play a role. Public sentiment and any major betting trends observed in sportsbooks could also influence trading activity on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments as traders react to new information.