TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dollar Tree 301: Biggest Mover
kalshi

Dollar Tree 301: Biggest Mover

Volume:
$11,079

Bubba Wallace

 - Kalshi

Bubba Wallace - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 8:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$1,813
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,896
N/A
N/A
$1,806
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
$772
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
$892
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$771
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$764
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$87
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This market determines which driver achieves the greatest improvement in race position from start to finish at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301. Participants bet on whether a specific driver will have the largest positive difference between their grid position and finishing position.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on whether the specified driver achieves the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and finishing position in the main race. Drivers must have both an official starting grid and a classified finishing position to be eligible. If the race is rescheduled within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the new date. If canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, all contracts settle at a fair price. In case of ties for the greatest position differential, 'Yes' payouts are divided equally among tied drivers, with 'No' positions receiving the complementary payout. Drivers starting from the pit lane are treated as one position behind the last regularly gridded driver unless a specific numeric position is published.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Dollar Tree 301 market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the outcome of the Dollar Tree 301 market, along with 24-hour volume of $5,963. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves as the event approaches, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest trading activity and probability estimates, helping users monitor shifts in expectations leading up to the resolution date.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more nuanced or forward-looking perspective. Traders may price in factors beyond traditional analysis, such as real-time news flow or crowd-sourced sentiment. While analysts offer detailed reports, this market provides a constantly updating probability that can diverge based on speculative or rapid shifts in public opinion.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their desired prices. The current top outcome reflects the highest probability that the market will settle as expected, influenced by recent news, performance metrics, and overall market sentiment. Volume of $11,079 indicates the level of interest and liquidity, while price fluctuations show how new information impacts trader expectations in this market.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on officially recognized results from race organizers and widely reported news sources, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the biggest mover.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute performance changes, penalty updates, or strategic decisions by drivers and teams. Major news coverage, live race developments, and unexpected incidents can all cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch closely for any shifts in betting trends or large trade sizes on Kalshi that hint at new information entering the market.