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Dinner Party: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double
kalshi

Dinner Party: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double

Volume:
$4,524

At least 40,000

 - Kalshi

At least 40,000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 40,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,933
N/A
N/A
$925
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 30,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 50,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 10,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 20,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,799
N/A
N/A
$554
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 90,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 100,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 110,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 120,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 130,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 140,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 150,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 160,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 170,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 180,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 190,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 200,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 80,000

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Intro

This market tracks whether Niall Horan's album Dinner Party will achieve at least 70,000 combined sales activity on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart during the week immediately following its wide release. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 86.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Hits Daily Double chart data for the first full week after the album's wide release. Watch for the album's initial chart performance and first-week sales figures, which will be the definitive indicator of whether this threshold is met by the resolution date of June 12, 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the activity (combined sales) figure for Niall Horan's "Dinner Party" during the week immediately following its wide release, as reported in the "Activity" column of the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart. Kalshi uses the Thursday-dated chart as the contract underlying, reflecting Hits Daily Double's current publication schedule. If data is unavailable or partially unavailable by June 19, 2026, all affected markets resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time prediction market odds on Kalshi for whether Dinner Party will achieve at least 60,000 combined activity (sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart during the first week following its wide release. The dashboard displays the current probability, historical price movements, and trading volume data. It aggregates market sentiment from all traders on the platform, reflecting collective expectations about the entertainment event's early commercial performance. Total group volume stands at $4,524, with $71 traded in the last 24 hours.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Dinner Party's combined activity (sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart during the first week following wide release reaches or exceeds 60,000. The outcome is binary: either the threshold is met, or it is not. Official chart data and sales figures from the relevant tracking source will be used to settle the contract. Traders should monitor announcements and performance metrics as the release date approaches to assess the likelihood of the outcome.

Several catalysts could shift market odds before resolution. Marketing campaign announcements, celebrity endorsements, or media buzz surrounding Dinner Party's release would likely increase bullish sentiment. Conversely, negative reviews, production delays, or competing entertainment releases could dampen expectations. Early pre-order or pre-release sales data would provide concrete signals about consumer demand. Social media trends and influencer coverage may also influence trader perception of first-week momentum. Industry reports comparing Dinner Party to similar releases offer benchmarking context. As the wide release date draws closer, actual early sales figures will become the primary driver of price movement.