TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether AS Saint-Étienne will win the upcoming Ligue 2 soccer match against Dijon Football Côte d'Or. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a leading outcome of 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the Ligue 2 governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback. The key catalyst to watch will be the match result on August 31, 2026, which will settle all associated markets.
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Monday, August 31, 2026 between Dijon Football Côte d'Or and AS Saint-Étienne.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dijon vs Saint-Etienne professional Ligue 2 soccer match originally scheduled for August 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Dijon wins, the 'Dijon' market resolves to Yes; if Saint-Etienne wins, the 'Saint-Etienne' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of different user populations, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more international traders while another skews local, leading to biased expectations. Additionally, low volume on either venue can amplify small trades, pushing probabilities away from each other. These factors combine to create distinct price discovery paths.