TOTAL VOLUME:
$116b
24H VOL:
$82,664,182
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,351,258,445
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,130,005,197
320,351
Markets across
31,379
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,474
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 45
- Kalshi
Above 45 - Kalshi
96%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
No volume data
Aug 17
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Vol.
$0.0
·
Resolves Oct 5, 2026
$
This event group tracks the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for the movie Digger as of October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Multiple markets across different platforms are centered around whether the score meets or exceeds various thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Digger is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution is determined by Digger's Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score on October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday following the film's wide release. Each market corresponds to a specific score threshold: 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, and 90. A market resolves to Yes if and only if the Tomatometer score strictly exceeds its designated threshold value. For example, a score of exactly 75 would resolve as No for the "Above 75" market, while a score of 76 would resolve as Yes. The Tomatometer score must surpass the strike value to trigger a Yes resolution; meeting or falling below the threshold results in No. All resolution determinations use the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as the authoritative source.
On Polymarket, traders price this market based on crowd-sourced sentiment and available data, often reflecting different views than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may weigh factors like cast performance, director history, and early reviews, while market odds capture real-time betting activity. The gap between the two can signal where public enthusiasm diverges from expert appraisal, and shifts in either can move this market notably.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary because user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics differ. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more retail traders reacting to news, while the other could see heavier institutional participation. These dynamics create a spread of 1.7 between the venues, meaning Polymarket currently favors Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 94.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Digger Rotten Tomatoes score? at 96.0%.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be taken from the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer, ensuring an objective close based on widely accepted entertainment industry data. Until then, any official updates or preview reactions could shift probabilities on this market.
Key signals include early screening reviews, audience score leaks, and statements from critics or the production team. Major social media reactions, press coverage, and any controversy surrounding the release can also sway trader sentiment. As release dates approach, real-time updates from premieres or rating announcements often cause rapid moves in this market, so monitoring entertainment news is essential for tracking shifts.