TOTAL VOLUME:

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2,388,728,490

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404,028

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia: Round of Victory
kalshi

Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia: Round of Victory

Volume:
$101,126

Diego Lopes to win in Round 2

 - Kalshi

Diego Lopes to win in Round 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 9:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Diego Lopes to win in Round 2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,644
N/A
N/A
$30,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Diego Lopes to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,972
N/A
N/A
$15,069
Settled
No
kalshi

Diego Lopes to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,899
N/A
N/A
$13,867
Settled
No
kalshi

Steve Garcia to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,841
N/A
N/A
$10,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Steve Garcia to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,067
N/A
N/A
$8,586
Settled
No
kalshi

Steve Garcia to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,757
N/A
N/A
$8,417
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,944
N/A
N/A
$5,140
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A UFC featherweight bout scheduled for June 14, 2026, covering all possible outcomes including early finishes by either fighter through knockout, submission, or disqualification, as well as decisions and draws.

Kalshi

The market covers the round in which Diego Lopes or Steve Garcia achieves a finish victory in their UFC Freedom 250 bout on June 14, 2026, as well as non-finish outcomes. Diego Lopes can win by knockout, TKO, submission, or disqualification in round 1, 2, or 3. Steve Garcia can win by the same methods in round 1, 2, or 3. A seventh outcome covers decision victories or draws/no contests for either fighter. Technical decisions are classified as decisions and resolve the decision outcome to Yes without counting as a round-specific finish. This structure captures all possible fight conclusions across the three scheduled rounds.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a vig and adjust lines to balance action, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For the Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia matchup, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook moneylines can reveal discrepancies in how the two venues value each fighter. These differences may signal where informed traders see edge or where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia: Round of Victory market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current price reflects the marginal probability traders assign to each fighter winning. As new fight footage, injury reports, or training camp updates surface, Kalshi prices adjust in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity; tighter spreads suggest higher confidence and more active trading, while wider spreads may reflect uncertainty or lower volume in this particular matchup.

The Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia: Round of Victory market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the fight as recorded by the UFC and confirmed by relevant sports data providers. The market will settle based on which fighter is declared the winner by knockout, submission, decision, or disqualification. Any postponement or cancellation of the bout may trigger alternative resolution rules specific to Kalshi, so traders should monitor official UFC announcements and platform updates as the fight date approaches.

Several catalysts could shift market pricing for this Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia matchup. Injury announcements or fighter withdrawals would trigger sharp repricing. Weigh-in results, recent training footage, or credible analyst commentary on either fighter's form may influence trader sentiment. Changes in public betting patterns at sportsbooks can also signal shifting expectations. Media narratives around momentum, striking matchups, or grappling advantages often move prediction markets as fight day approaches. Additionally, any official UFC schedule changes or venue adjustments could impact market confidence in the scheduled Jun 15, 2026 resolution date.