TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
A Mexico LMB baseball game between Diablos Rojos Del Mexico and Guerreros de Oaxaca scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Mexico LMB game scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds reflect real money at stake and aggregate the views of many traders with different information and incentives, often diverging from traditional analyst consensus. While sports analysts and expert commentators may publish forecasts based on team form, roster changes, and historical matchups, this market prices in live trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that experts may have overlooked, making prediction markets a useful cross-check against published analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, with higher prices indicating stronger expected likelihood. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the market price updates in real time to reflect the new consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, shares representing the correct result will be worth their full value, and all other shares will expire worthless. The resolution hinges on the final, official result of the matchup as documented by reliable sources.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent performance trends, and any changes to venue or scheduling. Public statements from coaches or players about strategy or readiness can shift trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting statistical advantages or historical head-to-head records may also influence pricing. As the event date approaches, late-breaking news—such as lineup confirmations or weather conditions—typically generates the largest price swings as traders incorporate fresh information into their bets.