TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This group asks whether a run will be scored in the first inning of a Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays baseball game. The markets differ in their focus: one asks for the winning team, while the other focuses solely on whether *any* run is scored in the first inning.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-15 23:07 UTC: If the Detroit Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Typically, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, though this isn't always the case. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise when assessing the potential outcome of this market.