TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Detroit will win its professional baseball game against Toronto. Currently, the probability of Detroit winning on Kalshi is 90.0%, while Toronto winning is at 10.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on September 16, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date and will indicate when the market closes following the completion of the game.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the professionally scheduled baseball game on September 15, 2026, at 7:07 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, as long as it is within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs and information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, but it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of the same underlying outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Detroit vs Toronto game as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the game could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market is driven by actual trading activity. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.