TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team leads after the first seven innings of the Detroit vs Texas baseball game on July 2, 2026. The outcome depends on the score at the end of the seventh inning, with a tie being a possible result.
Resolution is determined by comparing the scores of Detroit and Texas at the end of the first 7 innings of their professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If Detroit has more runs, the Detroit strike resolves to Yes. If Texas has more runs, the Texas strike resolves to Yes. If both teams have scored an equal number of runs, the Tie strike resolves to Yes and all team strikes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure, though sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the most recent trade, and as new orders flow in, prices adjust to clear supply and demand. You can buy shares at the ask price or sell at the bid price, with your position's value fluctuating until the market resolves. This continuous pricing model ensures transparent, real-time discovery of what the crowd believes will happen in the first seven innings.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the first seven innings of the Detroit vs Texas game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has more runs after exactly seven full innings have been played. All open positions settle based on the final score at that point, regardless of how the game proceeds afterward. Early resolution is not typical unless the game is officially called or postponed.
Key catalysts for price movement include injury reports or roster changes affecting either team's pitching or lineup, recent offensive and defensive performance trends, weather conditions on game day, and betting action from sharp traders. Line-up announcements and bullpen availability can shift expectations significantly. As game time nears, real-time developments like weather delays or last-minute roster decisions often trigger sharp repricing. Once play begins, each run scored or pitching change will likely move the odds as traders update their forecasts for the final seven-inning score.