TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game scheduled to take place between two teams. The key focus is on whether any scoring occurs during the first inning of the matchup. This game's early-stage performance determines the outcome of interest.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Detroit vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the actual trading activity of participants rather than set odds from a bookmaker. In this market, the probability indicated by trader activity can show sharper or more nuanced expectations than standard sportsbook lines, especially as game-specific factors like starting pitchers or weather conditions influence expectations in the hours before first pitch.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that set bid and ask prices, with liquidity determined by open orders. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of participants, adjusted dynamically as new information — such as lineup changes or pre-game momentum — flows into the market.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges solely on whether either team scores in the first inning of the game, a fact that becomes official once the game’s box score is published post-play.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute starting pitcher announcements, weather delays affecting game dynamics, and pre-game betting trends that hint at early scoring potential. Any development altering the expected pace or strategy of the opening frames may cause rapid re-pricing among traders on Kalshi as the first pitch approaches.