TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:44 AM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It will be considered to have occurred if the game extends beyond the standard nine innings and requires additional innings to determine a winner. This situation typically happens when the score is tied after the ninth inning.
If Detroit and San Francisco go to extra innings in the Detroit vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market shows a different outlook compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Prediction markets reflect trader sentiment and can move quickly based on new information, while sportsbooks set lines based on broader factors like team performance and public betting trends. The current chance percentage on Kalshi may diverge from sportsbook lines due to these differing dynamics. Traders often see more volatility in this market as conditions change, whereas sportsbooks adjust less frequently. This difference allows participants to compare expectations from both sides and potentially find value in the gap between them.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than nine innings, and the platform will finalize the market based on official league records and widely reported results.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 8, 2026. Starting lineups, pitcher performance, and in-game events like injuries or weather delays often impact expectations for extra innings. Updates on player health or managerial decisions may also sway trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any change in the expected duration from pre-game analyses or live betting trends might cause this market to move. Traders will watch closely for any announcement affecting the game's pace or expected length, as these factors directly influence the likelihood of extra innings.