TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Detroit versus Pittsburgh professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for this outcome is 30.0%. The market will resolve based on the game's official results. The key catalyst to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for August 19, 2026, as any run scored in the first inning will directly determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Detroit vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent either team scoring first in the opening inning. The current implied chance reflects aggregated trader sentiment, with volume and open interest guiding price discovery. Liquidity can fluctuate sharply before first pitch and during the first few outs.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the inning’s result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is the team that scores the first run in the opening frame, regardless of later game results or walks-off turns.
Key signals include starting pitcher announcements, last-minute lineup changes, weather delays, and early-inning performance live on game day. Any shift in perceived advantage — like a star batter being scratched or a rainout — can cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch pre-game bullpen sessions and official first-pitch timing for early momentum cues.