TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the run production of both teams in a professional baseball game between Detroit and New York Yankees scheduled for July 1, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether each team will exceed various run thresholds during the full game.
The market resolves based on the final run totals for each team in the Detroit vs New York Y game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. For New York Y, the market resolves to Yes if the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). For Detroit, the market resolves to Yes if the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each outcome is independent and resolves based on whether the specified team meets or exceeds its respective run threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new data surfaces or trader conviction shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and offers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent consensus between traders willing to transact at that level. As new information arrives or conviction changes, the bid-ask spread adjusts and the midpoint price moves, allowing you to enter or exit your position at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Detroit vs New York game concludes and the final team totals are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined points scored by each team during regulation play. Your position settles based on whether the actual team total aligns with the prediction market's outcome criteria, confirmed through official game records and sports data providers.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather updates, and recent team performance trends. Betting market shifts at sportsbooks can also influence trader positioning here. Late-breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp repricing. Additionally, as game time approaches, increased media coverage and analyst commentary may shift conviction, causing volatility in the final hours before kickoff. Monitor official team announcements and sports news closely for signals that could reshape odds.