TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first five innings of the Detroit Tigers versus New York Yankees baseball game scheduled for July 1, 2026. Bettors predict whether Detroit will be ahead, New York will be ahead, or the teams will be tied after the completion of the fifth inning.
The market resolves based on the score at the end of the fifth inning of the Detroit vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. Three outcomes are possible: Detroit wins the first 5 innings (resolves Yes if Detroit has more runs), New York Y wins the first 5 innings (resolves Yes if New York Y has more runs), or the teams tie (resolves Yes if scores are equal). If the score is tied after five innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes while both team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, within two days of the original scheduled date.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect real-time consensus from active traders rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on sharp action and liability management, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. This market may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbook lines depending on trader activity and information flow. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where public perception diverges from professional bookmaker pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that Detroit or New York will achieve the specified result in the first five innings. Traders can place limit or market orders, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as liquidity increases, rewarding active participation and information discovery.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Detroit versus New York game has concluded and the first-five-innings result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official box score and game records for the specified inning window. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or postponed under league rules, so traders should monitor official MLB communications and game status updates leading up to and during the event.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions, and injury updates affecting either team's roster. Early game momentum—such as runs scored, errors, or strong pitching performances in the first inning—will drive sharp repricing as new information arrives. Breaking news about player availability, umpire assignments, or field conditions can also shift trader positioning. Real-time game action during the first five innings will create the most volatile price movements as the outcome becomes increasingly certain.