TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Detroit vs New York Y
kalshi
predict

Who will win Detroit vs New York Y?

Volume:
$10,111,873

Detroit

 - Kalshi

Detroit - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Detroit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,808,465
N/A
N/A
$1,912,662
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York Y

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,271,658
N/A
N/A
$2,237,815
Settled
No
predict

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

N/A
N/A
—
$8,527
$31,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. Across Kalshi and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows 99.0% probability for Detroit to win. The resolution source is the official outcome of the professional baseball game on the scheduled date. Watch for any roster changes, weather updates, or injury reports in the days leading up to the 1:35 PM EDT first pitch on July 1, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a New York Y win and a Detroit win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Predict's logic is binary and coherent.Hero tip: Trade only on the Predict platform version. Kalshi's market cannot be settled fairly as written because both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes). Request clarification or correction from Kalshi before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary resolution: Detroit Tigers win resolves to Detroit Tigers; New York Yankees win resolves to New York Yankees. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source is official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both 'If New York Y wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Detroit wins... resolves to Yes.' No differentiation between outcomes; both map to identical resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

This event covers the Detroit vs New York Yankees professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. The market resolves Yes for whichever team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 1 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing. This market's odds on Kalshi and Predict may diverge from your local sportsbook because traders here have direct financial exposure and update positions continuously. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on either side.

Kalshi and Predict attract different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Regulatory frameworks, contract design, and order-flow timing also play a role; one platform may see larger volume spikes or attract more sophisticated participants in a given window. Tracking both venues lets you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand which platform's pricing reflects fresher information or deeper conviction from its user base.

Key catalysts include injury reports, lineup announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and rest days can also influence trader positioning. Major news—such as a star player's status change or a coaching decision—typically triggers sharp repricing across both platforms. Monitor sports media and team social channels for updates; even minor roster moves or public statements can shift odds meaningfully as traders reassess win probability and adjust their positions accordingly.