TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
In a professional baseball game between Detroit and Los Angeles Angels scheduled for July 19, 2026, this event tracks whether at least one run will be scored during the first inning by either team.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Detroit vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with real money at stake. This market may price the first inning outcome differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially as game time approaches and new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs or where one venue perceives edge relative to the other.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief in whether a run scores in the first inning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices range from 0 to 100, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction that the outcome will occur. Traders profit by correctly predicting the event; the platform's fee structure and liquidity depth influence how tightly prices track true probability.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the first inning of the Detroit versus Los Angeles game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses the plate during that inning. Traders holding the correct side of the contract at resolution receive their payout, while the opposing side receives nothing.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, recent team batting statistics, weather conditions at game time, and any late-inning roster changes or injuries. Historical first-inning scoring rates for both teams, ballpark factors, and head-to-head matchup data can shift trader positioning. As game time nears, live betting activity and updated scouting reports may accelerate price movement. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions could trigger sharp repricing in the final hours before first pitch.