TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Detroit or Indianapolis specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either Detroit or Indianapolis exclusively in the 4th quarter of the game, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' resolution: thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points for either team. The outcome is determined solely by the scoring margin in the final quarter, independent of the overall game result or any points scored in earlier quarters.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction market odds capture the collective wisdom of traders who actively buy and sell contracts. This can lead to tighter spreads or different favorites, especially if new information emerges that impacts trader sentiment differently than the broader betting public.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential from the last quarter will determine whether Detroit or Indianapolis covers the set spread, and the result is locked in once official statistics are published and widely confirmed across sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, strategic changes by coaches in the final quarter, or momentum swings during critical drives. If one team gains a significant advantage in time of possession or turnover margin late in the game, trader sentiment may shift quickly, moving the odds in response to the perceived likelihood of a cover.