TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Detroit or Indianapolis in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate varying point differentials by which either Detroit or Indianapolis must win the first quarter of their scheduled game on August 29, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either team to exceed in order to resolve as 'Yes.' The outcome is determined solely by points scored during the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to the full game result. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be assessed separately against the actual point differential from the first quarter. The governing body's official scoring and game records will serve as the definitive source for resolving these markets.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information sets. Traders may price in nuances not captured by sportsbooks, such as injury updates or weather conditions. The spread in this market can therefore appear wider or narrower than standard sportsbook spreads, depending on recent trading activity and trader expectations for the opening quarter dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result for the first quarter will be compared against the market’s settled line to determine the payout for all positions.
In the coming weeks, key injuries, coaching strategies, or weather updates could shift expectations for the opening quarter and impact this market. Media reports and practice observations may also sway trader sentiment. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, any last-minute changes in starting lineups or game plans could cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting updated probabilities of which team will cover the spread in the first quarter.