TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:46 PM EST
Kalshi
José Ramírez and Steven Kwan will compete in combined performance benchmarks during the Detroit vs Cleveland baseball game on June 12, 2026. Each player's achievement is measured by the sum of hits, runs scored, and runs batted in during their at-bats in the game.
Settlement depends on player participation status. If a player is scratched or not in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price. If a starting player records no plate appearances, the market resolves to fair market price. Players who enter the game as pinch hitters do not count toward resolution. Only starting players with at least one plate appearance have their combined hits, runs, and RBIs counted for settlement purposes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on betting volume and liability, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through continuous price discovery. For combined stats markets, prediction platforms may offer tighter or wider ranges depending on liquidity and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from market-implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcome ranges for combined hits, runs, and RBIs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on supply and demand; as more traders believe an outcome is likely, the contract price rises, and vice versa. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the difference between buy and sell prices reflecting the bid-ask spread. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, and all trades settle based on the verified final statistics from the game.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the Detroit versus Cleveland game concludes and final statistics are available. The outcome is determined by the combined total of hits, runs, and RBIs recorded by both teams during the contest. Resolution is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual combined total will receive their payout, while positions on incorrect ranges expire worthless. The exact settlement occurs shortly after game completion and official statistics are confirmed.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Lineup announcements, injuries to key hitters, or weather conditions affecting ball carry and visibility can alter expectations for offensive output. Recent team form, bullpen strength, and head-to-head matchup history influence trader confidence in the combined statistical total. Breaking news about player availability or trades may trigger repricing. As game time approaches, real-time developments such as weather updates or last-minute roster changes often drive volatility. During the game itself, early scoring and offensive performance will continuously adjust market prices as new information emerges.