TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the baseball game between Detroit and Cleveland on September 5, 2026, will last longer than the standard nine innings. Extra innings occur when the score is tied after the ninth inning, leading to additional playing periods until one team takes the lead at the end of an inning. The outcome depends on the game's progression and whether the teams remain tied going beyond the scheduled timeframe.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Detroit vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the likelihood of extra innings. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome of the Detroit vs Cleveland game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings in the Detroit vs Cleveland game. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts indicating 'yes' to extra innings, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to reflect the collective beliefs of all participants, offering a unique view compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether extra innings are officially played in the Detroit vs Cleveland game. The official game result, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders who correctly predicted whether extra innings would occur will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, weather forecasts predicting rain delays (which could increase the likelihood of a suspended game and subsequent extra innings), or even significant injuries to key players could all cause the market to shift. Unexpected changes in betting lines at sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the game's length and competitiveness has the potential to move this market.