TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The scheduled game between two professional baseball teams will determine if the match extends beyond its standard duration. If the game requires additional periods to conclude, it indicates an unresolved state after the initial timeframe. This situation often arises when scores are tied as time runs out, leading to a continuation of play.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Detroit vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that moves the prediction market odds closer to their collective view. This can create opportunities for arbitrage, but also highlights differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Detroit vs Cleveland game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Detroit vs Cleveland game, specifically whether the game went to extra innings. The platform will utilize publicly available and trusted sources to determine the official outcome. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual result, with winning contracts paying out based on their final price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Detroit or Cleveland teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups or strategic decisions announced by either team’s manager could lead to traders reassessing the probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even shifts in public sentiment reflected in polls, could also move this market before Sep 5, 2026.