TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining whether one team significantly outperforms the other specifically in the final quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to different point-margin thresholds that must be met or exceeded by either Detroit or Cincinnati during that period.
These markets evaluate various point-spread thresholds for the fourth quarter performance in the Detroit vs. Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for August 13, 2026. Each rule specifies a distinct margin by which either team must win the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Thresholds range from modest margins like over 2.5 points to substantial gaps such as over 10.5 points, offering multiple levels of difficulty for each potential outcome. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play, with overtime points explicitly excluded from calculation. The structure allows participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the game's closing stage, with resolution dependent solely on the numerical point differential achieved under these specific conditions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on trading volume and any new information about the teams' performances leading up to the game, capturing real-time sentiment in this market.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official game statistics will determine whether Detroit covers the 4th quarter spread, closing this market based on the recorded results.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategies specifically for the 4th quarter, and recent performance trends for both Detroit and Cincinnati could shift this market. Any sudden changes in team dynamics or game momentum as the match approaches will be closely watched by traders, potentially moving the odds significantly before resolution.