TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 9:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Detroit or Cincinnati specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate the third-quarter performance of the Detroit vs. Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for August 13, 2026, specifically measuring the point differential between the two teams during that quarter. Each market has a unique threshold for the margin of victory required for resolution. If Cincinnati wins the third quarter by more than the specified point spread—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Detroit achieves a third-quarter win exceeding its specified spread—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. All assessments are strictly based on points scored during the third quarter alone; any points from other quarters are irrelevant to these resolutions. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, allowing for multiple markets to resolve simultaneously depending on the actual point differential.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique participant dynamics and real-time information flow. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as specific in-game momentum shifts or weather conditions. The resulting probability can therefore appear more or less favorable compared to conventional sportsbook spreads, depending on how the community interprets upcoming plays and team performance trends.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game result, specifically the third-quarter point differential, will set the final value, and the market will close based on that verified score.
Key moments like starting lineups, early-game scoring runs, or injury updates could strongly influence this market. Quarter-by-quarter performance metrics, referee calls affecting possession, and even weather changes may shift trader expectations. As the game progresses, real-time scoring and possession statistics will be closely watched, since any significant lead or deficit can reshape odds. All of these evolving factors will drive trader activity and potentially move the market before it settles on Aug 14, 2026.