TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 8:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Cincinnati. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team needs to achieve to settle the bet. The outcome depends solely on the scoring margin within the first quarter of play.
The markets collectively assess whether Detroit or Cincinnati will win the first quarter by specific point margins. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either team to win the quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter, with no regard to the full game result. If the specified team meets or exceeds their respective point differential threshold in the first quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Only the first quarter's scoring counts, and all determinations are based strictly on the official game clock and scoring records.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game statistics for the first quarter, specifically whether Detroit’s score meets or exceeds the spread set for that period against Cincinnati. The process ensures an objective, data-driven conclusion once the game’s first quarter concludes and results are publicly recorded.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute roster changes, weather forecasts impacting early gameplay, and pre-game analyst commentary focusing on quarter-specific strategies. Any news about starting lineups, coaching decisions, or injury updates released close to kickoff may cause rapid reassessments. Traders will also react to broader market trends if related games or division performance affects investor sentiment about either team’s early-game capabilities.