TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago White Sox will defeat the Detroit Tigers by a margin greater than 2.5 runs in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability that Chicago wins by over 1.5 runs stands at 85.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score from the May 30, 2026 game at 2:10 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive and pitching performance leading up to game time to gauge whether the spread holds.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they aggregate trader sentiment rather than balancing liability. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage risk and attract equal action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect genuine belief about the outcome. The Kalshi market may price the spread differently based on real-money trader conviction, making it a useful cross-check against conventional sportsbook consensus. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to bookmaker pricing.
On Kalshi, the Detroit vs Chicago World Series spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability. As new information emerges—injuries, roster moves, or recent team performance—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market price at any moment reflects the collective forecast of all active traders on the platform.
The Detroit vs Chicago WS: Spread market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final outcome of the specified spread condition between the two teams. Once the relevant games conclude and the spread result is confirmed, the market settles automatically. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Check the event details for the exact spread threshold and any tie-resolution rules that may apply.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injuries to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Playoff seeding, home-field advantage, and bullpen depth can significantly influence spread expectations. Media reports on team momentum, coaching decisions, and public betting patterns may also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and rest days between games are tactical factors traders monitor. As the event date approaches, each game result and injury update typically triggers price adjustments reflecting new information about likely spread outcomes.