TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the run differential in the Detroit versus Chicago White Sox matchup, with traders pricing the likelihood of specific margin-of-victory outcomes. Detroit winning by over 1.5 runs is currently at 40.0%, while Chicago winning by over 1.5 runs sits at 31.0% on Kalshi. The market resolves based on the final score of the professional baseball game scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, as reported by official game records. Watch the teams' recent offensive and pitching performance leading up to game time on May 29 to gauge which side may have the edge in run production.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. The Detroit vs Chicago spread on Kalshi may move faster or wider than sportsbook lines during breaking news or injury announcements. Comparing both sources helps identify mispricings and sharpen your edge before the market resolves.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Detroit vs Chicago World Series spread is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the final spread outcome. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with each cent representing a one-percentage-point probability. As new information emerges—roster changes, weather, recent performance—traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the market price. Liquidity and trading volume on Kalshi determine how quickly prices respond to news and how tight the bid-ask spread remains.
The Detroit vs Chicago WS: Spread market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final outcome of the World Series matchup between Detroit and Chicago, specifically how the spread between the two teams' performances is calculated at series conclusion. Once the series ends and official results are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual spread matches the predicted threshold. Traders holding contracts aligned with the final result receive their payout.
Key catalysts for the Detroit vs Chicago spread include player injuries or roster moves, recent team performance streaks, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and playoff momentum shifts. Unexpected trades, manager decisions, or standout individual performances in prior rounds can reshape trader expectations about the spread. Media narratives and expert predictions may also influence market sentiment. Monitor team news, injury reports, and historical head-to-head records closely, as any significant development can trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi before resolution on May 30, 2026.