TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either Detroit or Chicago will score a run during the first inning of their World Series matchup. On Kalshi, the probability that at least one run scores in the opening frame stands at 46.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the game scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and early-inning tendencies leading up to first pitch on May 30 to gauge early-game scoring likelihood.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether a run is scored during the first inning of the Detroit vs Chicago World Series game. The outcome will be settled based on official Major League Baseball records and box score data from that contest. Once the first inning concludes, the market will be evaluated and settled accordingly. Traders should monitor the game broadcast and official MLB updates to track the inning's progress and anticipate resolution timing.
Several factors could shift odds before the game begins and the first inning plays out. Lineup announcements, particularly the starting pitchers and batting order, directly influence first-inning scoring probability. Weather conditions at the stadium—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and play style. Injury updates to key hitters or pitchers can reshape expectations. Recent team form, bullpen availability, and historical first-inning performance data may also drive trader sentiment. As game time approaches, late-breaking news and final betting action on external sportsbooks can trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi.