TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total offensive yards each team achieves in a specific football game, offering different thresholds for performance evaluation. The outcomes depend solely on the official game statistics, reflecting team efficiency in gaining yardage during the match.
The markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by each team in the Detroit vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. Each market has a specific yardage threshold that, if met or exceeded by a team, results in a 'Yes' outcome for that market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market tends to adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market incorporates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards gained by both teams. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific yardage total occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect the collective intelligence of participants, constantly updating as new information emerges and opinions change regarding the game's potential yardage output.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total yardage for both the Detroit and Buffalo teams is verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The final yardage total, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine whether contracts predicting over or under a specific yardage threshold will pay out. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on established game data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Buffalo teams would likely cause substantial movement, as the availability of star players directly impacts offensive potential. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts for heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations regarding passing and rushing yardage. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant changes to either team’s offensive line could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.